Marty's Book Club on Uncertain Times

 Join Marty's Book Club to study Federal Highway Administration's Transportation Planning for Uncertain Times. 

Initiative focused on how our forecasting process and the planning process work together to support equity and mobility justice and how it can be used to influence decisions that will serve broader transportation needs and  higher quality of life outcomes, particularly for those who have historically borne the brunt of negative transportation impacts . >> More

Initiative focused on how  information about error and uncertainty should affect our modeling and forecasting processes and how we can most effectively inform decision-makers faced with uncertainty underpinning the baseline assumptions in travel forecasting and planning in order for them to make robust and effective decisions. >> More

Many travel demand forecasting methods and practices respond to the “predict-and-provide” infrastructure investment decision-making during the period of build-out of our national highway system.  With environmental, climate, and monetary budgets for highway expansion asymptotically shrinking, we must reexamine the methods of travel forecasting to meet the current and future decision making needs.

While there have been many advances in numerical methods and computing (e.g. large language models), we need to evaluate if/how these methods could advance the goals of the travel forecasting community before adopting them as the next shiny object.