Workshops
TRB 2024 Annual Meeting - DMDU Initiative Meeting
The DMDU Initiative met during the TRB 2024 annual meeting to hear about the latest updates on the NCHRP Study into Incorporating Uncertainty to LRTPs (slides linked in Meeting Minutes); discuss key uncertainties in our work (word cloud); and agree to rename the initiative from "Uncertainty" to the Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU).
Virtual Workshop / Poll - July 2023
The virtual workshop had over 30 attendees and we had 24 responses to the uncertainty poll, about 40% of the uncertainty list membership. Not bad for a summer poll! There was a nice mix of responses from newbies to advanced beginners and right up to the cutting edge. A few highlights:
The greatest interest/excitement (by average score) is to Develop methods and visualizations to effectively communicate uncertainty to stakeholders
Second place goes to hosting a Peer exchange of uncertainties identified vs. tested, input variables and ranges, output metrics.
All proposed topic areas averaged above a 4.0 except for case studies and a webinar panel, which averaged in the high 3’s.
There are also some great ideas on focus areas for the uncertainty initiative. These are included in the poll results linked below.
TRB Innovations in Travel Analysis and Planning Conference - June 2023
Travel Forecasting Uncertainty Workshop
The purpose of this workshop was to advance the AEP50 Travel Forecasting Uncertainty Initiative. The workshop began with table setting presentations and then utilized breakout sessions to explore the four key challenge areas:
Identifying uncertainty areas and ranges
Exploring uncertainty space with quantitative analysis
Visualization and analyzing results
Translating results into useful inputs to the planning process
Moderator:
Marty Milkovits, Boston Region MPO
Presenters / Facilitators:
Tierra Bills, UCLA
Rachel Copperman, Cambridge Systematics
Naomi Stein, EBP
Sarah Sun, FHWA
Facilitators:
Jay Evans, RSG
Greg Macfarlane, Brigham Young University
Tara Weidner, Oregon DOT
Notes / Summary:
Vivek Yadav, Cambridge Systematics
Attendees: ~60 (6 breakout groups of 8-12)